Troyes II vs RC Épernay Champagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.1%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.6%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
3º
24
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
JAR
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STR
1 - 1
TRO
36%
24%
39%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
REI
69%
17%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
ILL
76%
14%
10%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
RC Épernay Champagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
RCE
2 - 2
SAR
19%
21%
61%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
THA
2 - 1
RCE
65%
19%
16%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
JAR
0 - 3
RCE
43%
23%
35%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RCE
1 - 2
MEZ
43%
25%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 0
REI
37%
23%
40%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |