Troyes II vs Raon-l'Etape analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.5%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
3º
47
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
THA
0 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 1
RCE
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 0
JAR
83%
11%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
2 - 0
MEZ
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Raon-l'Etape
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
RAO
4 - 0
JAR
82%
11%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
RAO
3 - 1
SAR
34%
23%
44%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
RCE
1 - 3
RAO
34%
24%
42%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2022 |
RAO
1 - 2
MET
6%
14%
81%
|
34 | 71 | 37 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
MEZ
2 - 1
RAO
30%
25%
45%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |