Troyes II vs Nancy II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
19.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
3º
39
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
SCH
0 - 2
TRO
36%
25%
40%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 4
RAO
56%
21%
23%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2022 |
THA
0 - 0
TRO
44%
25%
31%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
SAR
2 - 0
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
3 - 1
RCE
73%
16%
11%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Nancy II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 3
SAR
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
RCE
0 - 1
NAN
26%
23%
51%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
NAN
1 - 0
JAR
79%
13%
9%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
MEZ
2 - 2
NAN
34%
25%
42%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
0 - 2
STR
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |