Troyes II vs Illzach Modenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.6%
14.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
PON
2 - 0
TRO
48%
24%
28%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TRO
4 - 1
SAI
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
TRO
4 - 0
SCH
71%
17%
12%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
MET
2 - 1
TRO
53%
23%
24%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
TRO
4 - 0
BSU
77%
14%
9%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Illzach Modenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
THA
1 - 1
ILL
31%
24%
45%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ILL
3 - 1
AMN
19%
23%
58%
|
26 | 43 | 17 | +4 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
ILL
62%
19%
19%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
2 - 2
NAN
19%
22%
58%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ILL
0 - 3
MET
23%
25%
53%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |