Troyes II vs Illkirch Graffenstaden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.77
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.1%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
8º
3º
10
13º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 50 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
90% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 47 |
4º
|
25% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 47 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
24.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
7º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
85% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 16 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 6 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BIE
4 - 0
TRO
25%
23%
52%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
MEZ
0 - 2
TRO
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
TRO
0 - 0
RCE
77%
15%
9%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2022 |
TRO
6 - 1
BIE
65%
19%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
SAI
0 - 2
TRO
18%
22%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Illkirch Graffenstaden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ILL
0 - 0
RAO
27%
21%
52%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
ILL
2 - 2
RAO
25%
21%
54%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
SAR
4 - 2
ILL
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
ILL
3 - 1
AMN
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
THA
0 - 1
ILL
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +1 |