Troyes II vs Métropole Troyenne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
10.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
2º
11º
3º
12
13º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 48 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 40 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
87% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
24% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
32% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
11º
|
73.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
73.5% | |
|
13º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
12 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
OBE
3 - 1
TRO
7%
14%
79%
|
41 | 10 | 31 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 0
REI
63%
19%
18%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 1
BIE
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
ILL
0 - 1
TRO
9%
15%
76%
|
39 | 17 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
TRO
5 - 0
CHA
84%
11%
6%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Métropole Troyenne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
MET
0 - 2
THL
87%
9%
4%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 0
MET
53%
21%
27%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
MET
2 - 1
MET
16%
19%
66%
|
26 | 42 | 16 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MET
0 - 0
VAU
37%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
ILL
0 - 0
MET
52%
21%
27%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |