Troyes II vs Vauban Strasbourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Troyes II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
SAI
4 - 0
TRO
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
1 - 0
BES
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
CHA
1 - 2
TRO
29%
24%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TRO
2 - 1
ILL
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
REI
3 - 2
TRO
38%
25%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Vauban Strasbourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
VAU
0 - 2
SEL
57%
22%
21%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
SAI
0 - 0
VAU
53%
23%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
VAU
0 - 0
JAR
39%
24%
37%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
BES
0 - 0
VAU
57%
23%
21%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
SAI
3 - 1
VAU
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |