Tropezón vs Revilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
9º
4º
33
6º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
52 | 52 |
4º
|
44% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
44% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 43 |
8º
|
50.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
81% | |
|
|
10º
|
33 | 34 |
10º
|
91.5% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 32 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
62% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
62% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tropezón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
SOL
1 - 4
TRO
10%
17%
73%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
TRO
1 - 1
CUL
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 2
TRO
19%
20%
62%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
TRO
4 - 0
SAM
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
SDT
0 - 1
TRO
16%
19%
65%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Revilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
REV
1 - 4
NAV
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 2
REV
35%
25%
40%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
REV
2 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
CAY
1 - 1
REV
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
REV
1 - 3
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |