Tromsø IL vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 1
RBK
25%
26%
50%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
HAU
1 - 0
TRO
50%
25%
26%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 0
VIF
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
BOG
0 - 1
TRO
54%
23%
23%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TRO
1 - 2
LSK
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
BBS
0 - 0
VIF
45%
25%
29%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
VIF
1 - 0
LSK
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2018 |
TRO
3 - 0
VIF
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2018 |
VIF
1 - 0
STB
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
SDF
0 - 1
VIF
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |