Tromsø IL vs Sarpsborg 08 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
35.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
7º
3º
41
2º
15º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
TRO
1 - 1
TRO
15%
20%
65%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
HAU
1 - 2
TRO
40%
27%
33%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
HIS
0 - 8
TRO
3%
10%
86%
|
72 | 7 | 65 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
TRO
2 - 3
BOG
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
HAM
1 - 2
TRO
36%
27%
37%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sarpsborg 08
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2023 |
FRI
3 - 5
S08
7%
14%
78%
|
75 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
S08
3 - 1
ELP
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
FVI
1 - 3
S08
6%
13%
81%
|
74 | 34 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
LSK
1 - 2
S08
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
S08
2 - 1
BBS
26%
24%
49%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |