Tromsø IL vs Sandefjord analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
17.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
2º
7º
3º
31
8º
15º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
29 | 29 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 1
LSK
36%
26%
39%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BOG
0 - 2
TRO
76%
15%
9%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
3 - 1
BBS
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
RBK
2 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TRO
0 - 0
VIF
42%
26%
32%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sandefjord
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SDF
2 - 2
MFK
12%
20%
68%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
SDF
5 - 1
S08
25%
25%
51%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
VIF
2 - 3
SDF
64%
21%
15%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
SDF
2 - 5
BOG
11%
20%
69%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2023 |
LSK
4 - 2
SDF
64%
22%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |