Tromsø IL vs Rosenborg BK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
38.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
9º
16º
13º
53
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
52 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions league qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 0
TRO
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
TRO
4 - 0
ODD
48%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
VKG
2 - 1
TRO
58%
22%
20%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VIF
1 - 0
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TRO
0 - 3
S08
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Rosenborg BK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 3
KFU
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 2
RBK
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
BBS
3 - 0
RBK
51%
23%
26%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
RBK
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
RBK
1 - 3
BOG
27%
23%
50%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |