Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-3
Tromsø IL vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
33.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
BOG
66%
21%
14%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
4 - 0
STR
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2012 |
MED
0 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
FFK
2 - 0
TRO
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 1
MED
47%
27%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
FKD
2 - 1
PAR
16%
23%
61%
|
83 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
7 - 0
BSK
83%
12%
5%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 1
AEL
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
AEL
1 - 0
PAR
32%
28%
41%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
PAR
3 - 1
VAL
75%
15%
10%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |