Q. Europa League First Round Final
Global 7-1
Tromsø IL vs FC Daugava analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.3%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.2%
13.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2011 |
FFK
0 - 2
TRO
38%
27%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 5
TRO
25%
25%
50%
|
80 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
TRO
3 - 3
STB
39%
27%
34%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2011 |
ALT
1 - 0
TRO
25%
23%
52%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
RBK
3 - 1
TRO
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
FC Daugava
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 3
VEN
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2011 |
FCD
0 - 5
TRO
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
FCS
1 - 1
FCD
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
FCD
1 - 0
FKD
40%
26%
34%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2011 |
FCD
2 - 1
LIE
18%
22%
60%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | +1 |