Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda Final
Global 1-1
Tromsø IL vs Differdange 03 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsø IL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
ODD
3 - 1
TRO
41%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
SHA
1 - 0
TRO
29%
27%
44%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 0
SHA
60%
23%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
TRO
2 - 2
SOG
59%
24%
18%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2013 |
CEL
0 - 2
TRO
38%
26%
36%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Differdange 03
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
UTR
3 - 3
DIF
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
UTR
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2013 |
DIF
2 - 1
LAÇ
57%
22%
21%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2013 |
LAÇ
0 - 1
DIF
37%
25%
38%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PRO
1 - 2
DIF
19%
23%
59%
|
68 | 53 | 15 | +1 |