Tromso II vs Frigg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
FIN
1 - 1
TRO
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 3
ASK
16%
21%
64%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
0 - 2
MOS
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2012 |
FOL
2 - 0
TRO
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 1
LOR
30%
24%
46%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Frigg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
FRI
2 - 4
OST
65%
19%
16%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
MOI
2 - 3
FRI
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jul. 2012 |
FRI
1 - 2
MJO
67%
18%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 1
FRI
39%
24%
37%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
FRI
7 - 1
ASK
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +3 |