Tromso II vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
64.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2016 |
GRO
7 - 0
TRO
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
TRO
6 - 1
SEN
47%
22%
31%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 3
OPP
29%
23%
48%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
HAR
3 - 2
TRO
45%
22%
33%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 0
KJE
27%
24%
49%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +2 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
FOL
4 - 2
HAR
81%
13%
6%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
KJE
1 - 0
FOL
35%
24%
41%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 2
FIN
55%
22%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
STA
2 - 0
FOL
18%
21%
61%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 1
ALT
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |