Tromso II vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.1%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
62%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2012 |
LOR
1 - 0
TRO
71%
17%
13%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
TRO
5 - 0
STA
39%
25%
37%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SEN
3 - 1
TRO
65%
19%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2012 |
TRO
2 - 1
NES
32%
25%
43%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | +2 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
KVI
1 - 1
TRO
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
FOL
0 - 1
OST
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
MOI
4 - 1
FOL
18%
21%
62%
|
54 | 37 | 17 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
6 - 0
FRI
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FIN
0 - 3
FOL
20%
22%
58%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
FOL
3 - 1
ASK
41%
25%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |