Tromso II vs Bærum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10%
20%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
65.5%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+84%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromso II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2008 |
SEN
2 - 0
TRO
37%
24%
39%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 2
TRO
16%
21%
64%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2008 |
ROS
4 - 0
TRO
62%
19%
19%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TRO
0 - 4
EID
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
TRO
1 - 1
POR
19%
22%
59%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Bærum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2008 |
BAR
2 - 1
ETO
35%
25%
41%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2008 |
POR
3 - 1
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
BAR
4 - 0
IFS
76%
15%
9%
|
49 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BAR
1 - 0
SKJ
70%
17%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
SEN
0 - 6
BAR
18%
21%
61%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |