Tromsdalen vs Hønefoss analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
20.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
1º
3º
2º
21
1º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
27 | 54 |
1º
|
51% | |
|
|
2º
|
24 | 51 |
2º
|
38% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 47 |
3º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 46 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 45 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
21 | 45 |
6º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 41 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 40 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 38 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 31 |
10º
|
39% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 21 |
11º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 21 |
12º
|
21% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 21 |
13º
|
26.5% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 17 |
14º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
21.5% | 4% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
38% | 7% |
|
Mid-table
|
40.5% | 89% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tromsdalen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2025 |
STB
1 - 1
TRO
31%
24%
45%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2025 |
TRO
2 - 0
STR
79%
14%
7%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2025 |
STR
1 - 0
TRO
37%
25%
39%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
TRO
1 - 1
LEV
40%
24%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2025 |
RFK
0 - 1
TRO
12%
19%
69%
|
65 | 48 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Hønefoss
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2025 |
HON
4 - 2
RFK
74%
16%
11%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2025 |
STR
0 - 1
HON
22%
21%
57%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2025 |
HON
3 - 1
ALT
63%
19%
18%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2025 |
EID
2 - 1
HON
45%
23%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
HON
1 - 0
KJE
42%
25%
33%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |