Trogen vs Jahn Forchheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
SCH
1 - 0
TRO
91%
7%
3%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
TRO
3 - 0
DJJ
22%
23%
55%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Aug. 2012 |
MEM
1 - 1
TRO
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 3
GRO
12%
19%
68%
|
13 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 2
AMB
12%
19%
69%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Jahn Forchheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
JFO
4 - 3
KLE
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 11 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2012 |
BAY
0 - 1
JFO
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
JFO
5 - 3
SAN
80%
13%
7%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2012 |
ERB
3 - 4
JFO
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2012 |
JFO
3 - 1
WUR
41%
23%
36%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +2 |