Trogen vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
8.1%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trogen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 0
TRO
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
JFO
4 - 0
TRO
84%
11%
5%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 2
MEM
23%
23%
55%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AMM
4 - 1
TRO
75%
15%
10%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
DJJ
2 - 0
TRO
52%
23%
26%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
SEL
4 - 3
BAY
25%
23%
51%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BAY
2 - 0
HOL
80%
13%
7%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
JFO
1 - 0
BAY
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
AUB
2 - 4
BAY
56%
21%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
AMM
1 - 1
BAY
36%
24%
40%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |