Trofense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25%
19.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
TRO
1 - 0
ATL
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
OLI
5 - 0
TRO
43%
27%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
TRO
4 - 0
SCF
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PEN
2 - 0
TRO
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
3 - 1
TRO
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
UNM
2 - 1
OLI
40%
28%
32%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PEN
3 - 1
UNM
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
UNM
1 - 1
SPC
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AVE
1 - 1
UNM
62%
23%
16%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 2
UNM
58%
24%
18%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |