Trofense vs Amarante analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
28.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trofense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
MAR
1 - 1
TRO
51%
25%
25%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
TRO
5 - 0
CAN
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
PED
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
GAN
3 - 0
TRO
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 17 | 30 | -3 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TRO
2 - 1
SMA
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Amarante
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
SMA
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CER
0 - 2
AMA
14%
19%
66%
|
45 | 18 | 27 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
CAN
0 - 0
AMA
13%
19%
69%
|
46 | 24 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CAM
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AMA
1 - 0
CIN
47%
26%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |