Trives vs AD Covadonga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.3%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
76.3%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16%
0-4
6.5%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.2%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.3%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+75%
-47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trives
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
ARR
3 - 1
TRI
24%
21%
55%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
TRI
4 - 1
CAL
64%
20%
16%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
RUA
4 - 0
TRI
39%
23%
38%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TRI
1 - 0
SCA
37%
22%
40%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
MEL
2 - 0
TRI
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
AD Covadonga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
COV
5 - 1
SAL
91%
7%
3%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
COL
1 - 2
COV
8%
14%
78%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
COV
6 - 1
RIB
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 10 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AMO
0 - 3
COV
11%
17%
73%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
COV
4 - 2
CEA
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |