Trival Valderas vs Aviación analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ARG
1 - 3
VAL
43%
25%
32%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
VAL
27%
25%
48%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
2 - 0
CDF
71%
18%
11%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ARY
0 - 0
VAL
33%
26%
42%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
VAL
1 - 0
COL
60%
22%
18%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
AVC
1 - 1
VIL
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2009 |
AVC
0 - 0
COL
28%
25%
47%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
INT
1 - 2
AVC
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 32 | 16 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AVC
2 - 1
HUM
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ORC
0 - 1
AVC
63%
22%
15%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |