Trival Valderas vs RSD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trival Valderas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
CDM
0 - 2
VAL
28%
23%
49%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
PNT
0 - 1
VAL
30%
26%
44%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 3
NAV
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
LUG
1 - 2
VAL
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
VAL
3 - 2
PBO
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
RSD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2016 |
ALC
2 - 3
PNT
37%
28%
35%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
NAV
1 - 3
ALC
60%
23%
16%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
ALC
1 - 1
LUG
67%
22%
11%
|
35 | 23 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
PBO
2 - 2
ALC
30%
27%
43%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
ALC
0 - 1
POZ
41%
28%
31%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |