Tritones Vallarta vs Gavilanes Matamoros analysis

Tritones Vallarta Gavilanes Matamoros
55 ELO 59
-3.2% Tilt -8.1%
4275º General ELO ranking 2478º
67º Country ELO ranking 37º
ELO win probability
38.1%
Tritones Vallarta
27.9%
Draw
34%
Gavilanes Matamoros

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
Tritones Vallarta
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
34%
Win probability
Gavilanes Matamoros
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tritones Vallarta
-36%
-10%
Gavilanes Matamoros

Points and table prediction

Tritones Vallarta
Their league position
Gavilanes Matamoros
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
16º
12º
56
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Chihuahua FC
58
75
94.5%
Los Cabos
65
66
85%
Durango
62
63
89%
Gavilanes Matamoros
56
57
100%
UA Tamaulipas
52
52
100%
Tecos
51
51
43.5%
Saltillo FC
10º
48
49
23%
Orgullo de Reynosa
49
49
23.5%
Cimarrones II
48
49
13%
Leones Negros II
49
49
10º
6.5%
UA Zacatecas
12º
43
44
11º
30%
Tritones Vallarta
11º
44
44
12º
36%
Real Apodaca
13º
42
42
13º
82%
Mineros de Fresnillo
14º
40
40
14º
100%
Club Calor
15º
35
36
15º
100%
Mexicali FC
16º
29
29
16º
100%
Colima
17º
24
24
17º
74.5%
Coras de Nayarit
18º
22
23
18º
74.5%
Expected probabilities
Tritones Vallarta
Gavilanes Matamoros
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tritones Vallarta
Gavilanes Matamoros
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tritones Vallarta
Tritones Vallarta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Sep. 2023
CFC
Chihuahua FC
2 - 0
Tritones Vallarta
TRI
45%
26%
29%
56 56 0 0
27 Aug. 2023
TRI
Tritones Vallarta
0 - 0
Orgullo de Reynosa
CFO
85%
11%
4%
56 9 47 0
19 Aug. 2023
NAY
Coras de Nayarit
0 - 2
Tritones Vallarta
TRI
42%
26%
32%
56 53 3 0
13 Aug. 2023
TRI
Tritones Vallarta
2 - 0
Real Apodaca
RAF
86%
11%
4%
55 9 46 +1
02 Apr. 2023
TRI
Tritones Vallarta
1 - 1
Inter Playa del Carmen
IPC
33%
27%
40%
55 63 8 0

Matches

Gavilanes Matamoros
Gavilanes Matamoros
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Sep. 2023
GAV
Gavilanes Matamoros
3 - 0
Colima
COL
55%
23%
22%
59 52 7 0
26 Aug. 2023
EST
Tecos
2 - 3
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
31%
27%
43%
59 51 8 0
20 Aug. 2023
GAV
Gavilanes Matamoros
1 - 2
UA Tamaulipas
COR
71%
19%
11%
59 43 16 0
13 Aug. 2023
ZAC
UA Zacatecas
3 - 0
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
42%
27%
31%
60 58 2 -1
02 Apr. 2023
TAM
Tampico Madero
1 - 1
Gavilanes Matamoros
GAV
57%
25%
19%
60 67 7 0