Tritones Vallarta vs Cimarrones de Sonora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.2%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
67.8%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
15.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
3º
10º
9º
25
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
25 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
22 | 21 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 16 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
17 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
17 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 13 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
10 | 8 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 0 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritones Vallarta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
EST
2 - 2
TRI
57%
23%
20%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
TRI
0 - 2
ZAC
29%
26%
45%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
MIN
2 - 0
TRI
35%
27%
39%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
TRI
2 - 0
MFC
64%
21%
16%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
DUR
0 - 1
TRI
76%
17%
8%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Cimarrones de Sonora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 0
TDA
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 34 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RAF
1 - 0
CIM
25%
25%
50%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
2 - 1
LCU
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
CIM
4 - 1
EST
69%
20%
11%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
ZAC
0 - 3
CIM
23%
25%
53%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | 0 |