Tritium vs Treviso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
26.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
FCV
1 - 1
TRI
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
REG
4 - 0
TRI
61%
23%
16%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 1
ABN
22%
26%
52%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
USC
19%
24%
58%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TRA
2 - 0
TRI
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Treviso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
TRE
2 - 2
COM
26%
26%
48%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRE
73%
19%
9%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
SAN
51%
25%
24%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
PAV
2 - 0
TRE
62%
23%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 3
FCS
33%
27%
40%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |