Tritium vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
LEV
2 - 1
TRI
21%
21%
59%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
TRI
4 - 2
CAS
75%
15%
10%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
NIB
1 - 1
TRI
40%
22%
38%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
TRI
0 - 1
UNI
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
TRI
1 - 1
CAL
63%
19%
18%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
0 - 1
UNI
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
VBE
2 - 2
FOL
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 1
UNI
37%
26%
38%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
FOL
2 - 0
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
CAL
1 - 0
FOL
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |