Tritium vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PON
0 - 0
TRI
40%
26%
34%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
2 - 1
PER
69%
19%
13%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
OLG
0 - 0
TRI
34%
25%
41%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 2
ALZ
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
TRI
3 - 0
USS
67%
19%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 2
STD
69%
19%
12%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
COL
0 - 0
FOL
68%
19%
13%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2010 |
FOL
0 - 2
DAR
32%
25%
42%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2010 |
CAR
0 - 0
FOL
71%
18%
11%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
REN
0 - 1
FOL
70%
18%
11%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |