Tritium vs Folgore Caratese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
16.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
BOR
1 - 1
TRI
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
TRI
3 - 0
OLG
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
USS
3 - 0
TRI
40%
25%
35%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
TRI
1 - 1
VOG
59%
22%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
FAN
0 - 2
TRI
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
COL
1 - 0
FOL
57%
23%
21%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
FOL
2 - 1
SAL
66%
20%
15%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
BOR
2 - 1
FOL
19%
23%
58%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | -2 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
FOL
1 - 0
OLG
56%
22%
22%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
USS
1 - 0
FOL
52%
23%
25%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -1 |