Tritium vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.9%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CAL
0 - 1
TRI
45%
23%
32%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TRI
0 - 1
SER
31%
24%
46%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
TRI
40%
23%
38%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
USB
34%
23%
43%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 2
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
DES
2 - 1
USP
50%
22%
28%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
DES
26%
21%
53%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
DES
0 - 3
FAN
47%
22%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SON
2 - 1
DES
27%
22%
52%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
DES
1 - 2
VCB
58%
20%
22%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |