Tritium vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
40.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LEC
2 - 0
TRI
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 2
COM
31%
28%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 1
TRI
36%
26%
38%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
TRI
2 - 3
ACD
55%
25%
20%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 2
FCV
38%
29%
33%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 1
ACD
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PAV
31%
25%
43%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ACL
40%
27%
33%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCS
2 - 1
PAV
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
PAV
1 - 2
FER
56%
25%
19%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |