Tritium vs AC Monza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.9%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
TRI
0 - 0
PIS
31%
28%
41%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPA
2 - 1
TRI
49%
27%
24%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
TRI
1 - 0
AVE
34%
27%
39%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2012 |
ACL
2 - 2
TRI
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
TER
2 - 0
TRI
68%
21%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
AC Monza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PAV
0 - 0
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
2 - 1
USF
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 1
ASS
44%
28%
27%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
0 - 2
REG
43%
27%
31%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SOR
2 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |