Tritium vs AC Merate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
TRI
3 - 1
ALZ
33%
26%
40%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAL
2 - 0
TRI
34%
26%
40%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
1 - 0
COL
48%
25%
27%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
0 - 0
TRI
35%
26%
39%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
TRI
2 - 1
BOR
77%
16%
8%
|
37 | 17 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
AC Merate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2009 |
ACM
1 - 1
COL
23%
25%
52%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 1
ACM
66%
20%
14%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 3
BOR
66%
20%
15%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
OLG
3 - 2
ACM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACM
2 - 0
USS
20%
24%
56%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | +4 |