Tristán Suárez vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
23.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MIT
2 - 1
SUA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SUA
0 - 0
FER
34%
26%
39%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2022 |
IRV
2 - 1
SUA
54%
26%
21%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
2 - 2
QUI
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SUA
3 - 4
CHI
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
SAC
0 - 0
AGR
24%
28%
48%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
INS
1 - 0
SAC
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2022 |
DYJ
4 - 1
SAC
85%
12%
4%
|
58 | 85 | 27 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
SAC
1 - 1
MIT
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2022 |
FER
1 - 1
SAC
56%
26%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |