Tristán Suárez vs Deportivo Merlo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.6%
16.6%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2014 |
BRO
0 - 0
SUA
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SUA
1 - 4
EST
36%
29%
34%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
ALM
0 - 1
SUA
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
SUA
0 - 2
CHA
46%
27%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
FEN
0 - 3
SUA
37%
29%
35%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Deportivo Merlo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
MER
1 - 0
ATL
36%
29%
35%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
ESP
2 - 0
MER
33%
29%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2014 |
MER
0 - 3
DAL
37%
28%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2014 |
BRO
3 - 1
MER
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
MER
0 - 4
EST
28%
30%
42%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |