Tristán Suárez vs Def. Unidos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
STM
0 - 3
SUA
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
SUA
2 - 1
ARM
68%
20%
12%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
COL
1 - 0
SUA
29%
26%
45%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
SAC
0 - 0
SUA
21%
24%
55%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SUA
2 - 1
ALM
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Unidos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VSC
2 - 1
CAD
35%
28%
37%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2020 |
CAD
1 - 1
COM
44%
27%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SMG
1 - 1
CAD
26%
29%
45%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
CAD
0 - 2
JJU
49%
27%
25%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
AND
1 - 0
CAD
52%
26%
22%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |