Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
26.2%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
STM
0 - 1
SUA
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
SUA
1 - 1
DAL
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
SMA
4 - 0
SUA
54%
25%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SUA
2 - 2
BRO
42%
28%
30%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
GBR
0 - 0
SUA
39%
28%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 2
FER
35%
29%
36%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOR
3 - 0
DEF
41%
30%
29%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
1 - 0
CAG
46%
30%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
ALM
2 - 0
DEF
42%
30%
28%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2021 |
DEF
0 - 0
RSA
53%
27%
20%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |