Primera B Metro. Semi-finals
Global 0-1
Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
14.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
21.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
SUA
51%
25%
23%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
3 - 2
ACA
40%
30%
30%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 2
SUA
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
30%
30%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
1 - 0
SUA
45%
26%
29%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2018 |
DEF
0 - 0
BAR
31%
29%
40%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2018 |
TAL
3 - 1
DEF
45%
29%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
2 - 2
BAR
33%
29%
38%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
SUA
2 - 0
DEF
40%
30%
30%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
DEF
1 - 0
EST
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |