Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
28.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
SUA
48%
27%
25%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SUA
0 - 0
STM
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 1
SUA
52%
26%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SUA
1 - 0
FEN
44%
27%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
SUA
54%
25%
22%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2017 |
DEF
0 - 2
RIE
43%
29%
28%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2017 |
ALM
1 - 0
DEF
39%
29%
32%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
2 - 1
STM
50%
29%
22%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
PLA
0 - 0
DEF
46%
29%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2017 |
DEF
4 - 3
FEN
41%
32%
28%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |