Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
31.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2011 |
BAR
1 - 1
SUA
60%
25%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SUA
3 - 5
FLA
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2011 |
MOR
4 - 2
SUA
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
SUA
1 - 0
SAR
55%
24%
21%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
ITA
1 - 2
SUA
44%
29%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2011 |
FLA
2 - 0
DEF
31%
31%
39%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
SAR
59%
24%
16%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 2
DEF
20%
29%
51%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2011 |
DEF
2 - 0
STM
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 2
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |