Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.4%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
22.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2010 |
AND
0 - 0
SUA
62%
22%
16%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
SUA
1 - 0
ALM
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MOR
1 - 1
SUA
45%
28%
27%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
SUA
2 - 2
ACA
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
SAR
2 - 2
SUA
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2010 |
CCO
1 - 1
DEF
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 1
SAR
38%
27%
34%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
VSC
0 - 2
DEF
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
DEF
0 - 0
ESP
58%
24%
19%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ATL
2 - 0
DEF
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |