Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
FLA
2 - 2
SUA
28%
29%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SUA
2 - 3
TEM
58%
23%
18%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
ESP
0 - 0
SUA
38%
27%
35%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
SUA
3 - 0
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
ARM
1 - 1
SUA
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 0
FLA
60%
24%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
TEM
1 - 0
DEF
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
DEF
2 - 1
ESP
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2009 |
MOR
2 - 5
DEF
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
COM
0 - 1
DEF
42%
28%
31%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |