Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
27%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
FLA
1 - 1
SUA
36%
31%
33%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2006 |
SUA
0 - 0
ALB
54%
23%
23%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
BRO
1 - 1
SUA
40%
28%
32%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2005 |
LAF
1 - 1
SUA
34%
29%
37%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
SUA
3 - 1
CCO
52%
24%
25%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2006 |
DEF
1 - 0
LAF
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2006 |
CCO
2 - 1
DEF
49%
24%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
MOR
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2005 |
TAL
2 - 1
DEF
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2005 |
DEF
1 - 1
TEM
57%
25%
19%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |