Tristán Suárez vs Def. Belgrano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
ESP
2 - 1
SUA
64%
21%
15%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
SUA
1 - 2
STM
40%
26%
35%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
TAL
0 - 0
SUA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
SUA
3 - 2
ARM
37%
27%
36%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
COL
2 - 5
SUA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Def. Belgrano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2001 |
STM
3 - 0
DEF
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2001 |
DEF
2 - 2
ARM
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2001 |
BER
2 - 2
DEF
24%
25%
50%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
DEF
3 - 1
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
TEM
2 - 4
DEF
72%
18%
11%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |