Tristán Suárez vs Alvarado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
28.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tristán Suárez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
SUA
53%
26%
21%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
SUA
1 - 1
DEP
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
MOR
0 - 0
SUA
48%
27%
25%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
RSA
0 - 0
SUA
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
SUA
0 - 0
DEF
45%
28%
26%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Alvarado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2022 |
ALV
0 - 0
AGR
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2022 |
INS
0 - 0
ALV
47%
27%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
ALV
1 - 1
SAC
53%
27%
20%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
ALM
3 - 2
ALV
44%
30%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ALV
4 - 0
CHI
57%
25%
18%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | +1 |