Trindade vs Umuarama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.3%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.1%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Trindade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
IPO
0 - 2
TRI
20%
23%
56%
|
53 | 38 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
2 - 0
GOI
54%
23%
23%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
APA
1 - 4
TRI
14%
20%
66%
|
52 | 18 | 34 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
ANA
2 - 3
TRI
45%
25%
30%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
TRI
1 - 2
CNO
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Umuarama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
ANA
17%
20%
64%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
MIN
2 - 0
UMU
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
0 - 2
SAN
13%
21%
66%
|
19 | 50 | 31 | -1 |
| 18 Jul. 2013 |
UMU
1 - 1
IPO
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
UMU
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 45 | 27 | 0 |